EFTA01461266.pdf
dataset_10 PDF 99.4 KB • Feb 4, 2026 • 1 pages
Cc: Paul Morris, vahe Stepania
Date: 12/18/2013 02:31 PM
Subject: Japanese Equity Basket... [C]
classification: confidential
Jeffrey -
Now that the FOMC decision is behind us (with the 510bn taper we just talked
about), here is the basket of single-name Japanese equities that we put
together to build on your bullish view (presently in Dx7).
To incorporate your bearish yen view, we could quanto this basket like we
talked about...in note form, we priced 13mos with HSBC, comes to a 95%
participation eg. if the basket was up 18%, note would be up 17.1%; if basket
is down 10%, note is down 9.5%. max loss 95% of principal (indicative levels
only, subject to market movement, as of 12/18/13).
We can look to add to your yen short position opportunistically as an alpha
overlay (USDJPY now at 103.40).
Let us know your thoughts,
Tazia
(Embedded image moved to file: pic28606.gif)
Indicative levels, subject to market movement. Source: Bloomberg and DB
Global Markets Research 12/16/13.
Supplemental Information:
DB Research expects Japanese equities could double by 2015
http://pull.db-gmresearch.com/cgi-bin/pull/DocPu11/10496-D6FF/89936366/The_mouse_18oct2013.pdf
Abenomics will lead to higher operational leverage and an improved
domestic economy
BO] will ease further as needed; DB expects USD/JPY FX to reach 120 by
2015
strong macroeconomic data and increase in overseas asset purchases by
the Japanese
GPIF panel report (a third arrow initiative) strongly positive for
Japanese risk assets
http://www.cas.go.jp/jp/seisaku/koutekisikin_unyourisk/pdf/e_final_report.pdf
Yen weakening will likely continue to be a theme, benefiting exporters.
Toyota:
https://ger.gm.cib.intranet.db.com/ger/document/pdf/0900b8c0877259ad.pdf
7203 JP
Buy
Current price 6170
Target price (11m) 8000
upside 29%
Panasonic
https://ger.gm.cib.intranet.db.com/ger/document/pdf/0900b8c08795101a.pdf
(6752 JP
Buy
Current price 1158
Target price (12m) 1300
upside 12%
Onmon
CONFIDENTIAL — PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0 123201
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00269385
EFTA01461266
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