EFTA01116328.pdf
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A Financier Called Jeffrey Epstein Accelerates the Course of Evolution at liars and
Evolution is always on the move but nowhere has it been more in flux than at Harvard
University. Indeed ten years ago, a brilliant Austrian biologist and mathematician called Martin
Nowak, collaborated with a then unknown New York financier called Jeffrey Epstein to establish
the Program for Evolutionary Dynamics. The financier's goal was not to give Harvard
University a $30 million dollar gift to coddle neo-Darwinian theorists, but to accelerate key
discoveries into the evolution and treatment of major diseases from cancer to infectious bacteria
and viruses such as HIV.
It all began in March of 2000 when Epstein, a New York fund manager with a passion for
cutting-edge science, invited Nowak to organize a conference on the evolution of language.
Nowak was then head of the Program in Theoretical Biology at the Institute for Advanced Study
at Princeton and had already published a substantial amount of work on the mathematics of the
HIV virus, infectious bacteria, and cancer cells. Before going to Princeton, Nowak had been the
head of the mathematical-biology group at Oxford University.
Epstein was no ordinary fund manager with a pension for science. By 2003, he was an
established science philanthropist. He had supported the research of many prominent scientists,
including Stephen Hawking, Marvin Minsky, Eric Lander, George Church, and Nobel laureate
physicists Gerard 't Hooft, David Gross, and Frank Wilczek. According to New York Magazine,
he was one of the largest donors to individual scientists around the world, granting up to $200
million a year. He was also a member of the New York Academy of Science, a member of
Rockefeller University's board, and actively involved in the Santa Fe Institute, the Quantum
Gravity Program at the University of Pennsylvania, and the Mind, Brain & Behavior Advisory
Committee at Harvard. Epstein himself had studied physics at the Cooper Union in New York
and mathematics at the Courant Institute in New York and moved on to teaching calculus and
physics at the Dalton School in Manhattan. Within a couple of years, he was quickly recruited
into options trading on Wall Street and applied his mathematical wit to the markets.
But Epstein's heart remained in the pure sciences. He was fascinated by fundamental questions
on the one hand and, on the other, eager to apply scientific theory to the real world. It was this
combination that drew him to Nowak. For Nowak's work embodied both large theoretical
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concepts about evolution and also focused on the treatment of disease with the use of
evolutionary mathematics. Not only could Epstein probe a brilliant mind about the origins of life,
but, with his connections at Harvard, was able to provide Nowak a powerful platform to put his
groundbreaking medical research into immediate practice.
So in August 2003, with the cooperation of Lawrence Summers, then president of Harvard, the
Program for Evolutionary Dynamics (PED) set up for business under the direction of Nowak,
who also became a professor of mathematics and biology at Harvard. In a few years, the PED
transformed the way in which evolution is studied and utilized. It became one of the first
programs to prioritize the use of mathematics in studying the evolution of microbiology and one
of the first to develop a mathematical model of how human cancer cells evolve, as well as
infectious bacteria and viruses such as HIV.
The PED's models soon led to key discoveries towards combatting diseases of all kinds. In 2012,
Nowak and two postdoctoral students, Benjamin Allen and Ivana Bozic, developed the first
mathematical model of how human colon-cancer cells evolve and how they become immune to
inhibitor-drug therapy. Their research was conducted at the request of the Pathology and
Oncology Department at Johns Hopkins University. The department was trying to understand
how the KRAS gene in colon-cancer cells becomes activated after inhibitor-drug therapy,
making the cells resistant to treatment.
By developing a mathematical model of the growth of colon-cancer cells, Nowak and his team
showed that the KRAS gene is not actually activated or "switched on" by inhibitor therapy;
rather, a small percentage of colon-cancer cells with an already activated KRAS gene are
immune from the start and come to dominate as the other cancer cells are destroyed by the
inhibitor drug. The discovery was critical in changing the approach to inhibitor-drug therapy.
Instead of applying drugs in sequence to fight secondary and tertiary resistance, the researchers
at Johns Hopkins are now exploring the effects of using a cocktail of inhibitor drugs to capture
all colon-cancer cell types: those with the activated KRAS gene and those without. The same
tailored approach is underway for other cancers.
In 2010, Ivana Bozic and Martin Nowak co-authored a mathematical study that showed that most
solid tumors contain 40 to 100 genetic mutations, but that on average only 5 to 15 of those
actually drive tumor growth. The findings were essential to the researchers at Johns Hopkins and
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elsewhere because they demonstrated the importance of isolating a key minority of mutated
tumor cells for effective inhibitor treatment.
"Mathematics in medical research reveals patterns that are otherwise hidden," remarked Epstein,
who maintains a frequent presence at PED. "It's exhilarating when a mathematician can
determine molecular and cellular behavior with the precision of an engineer and share those
findings with physicians."
In that same year 2010, the PED presented to Bert Vogelstein, professor and director of the
Ludwig Center for Cancer Genetics and Therapeutics at the Johns Hopkins Kimmel Cancer
Center and the Howard Hughes Medical Institute, a mathematical model showing the genetic
evolution of pancreatic-cancer cells from initial mutation to non-primary malignant cells. What
Nowak's team had found was surprising: that pancreatic cancer, one of the most lethal forms of
cancer, is not fast and furious as believed, but slow to develop. In fact, given the amount and
type of genetic disparity between the cellular stages, it appears that it takes about ten years for an
initiating mutation to grow to a parental, non-metastatic founder cell and another six years for
cells to become malignant.
The findings highlighted the importance and real possibility of isolating pancreatic mutations
prior to metastasis. Johns Hopkins scientists are now focusing on developing a pancreatic cancer
screening method similar to the protocol used for breast and colon cancers. Though early stages
of pancreatic cancer cause no known symptoms, the John Hopkins team is looking into
pancreatic screening endoscopies for patients of a certain age.
Over the last two years, Nowak and his team have also collaborated with the Johns Hopkins to
develop a database to map and predict the effect of drugs on the HIV virus. Like cancer cells,
HIV often develops resistance to drug cocktails. This is a major problem for patients and the trial
and error of clinical trials can be hugely debilitating. Using data collected from thousands of
blood tests on more than 20 anti-HIV drugs, the model calculates each drug's ability to suppress
viral replication and avoid resistant HIV strains. The model also factors in different drug
combinations and dosages, and information about the patient such as blood type, age, and sex to
arrive at the most precisely engineered predictor of results for future patients.
Epstein's motivation for applied science differs from Nowak's. While Nowak is a practicing
Roman Catholic and a declared humanist with a desire to serve society, Epstein is first and
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foremost a problem solver, interested in strategy and intellectual puzzles. He is equally devoted
to physics, artificial intelligence, and the human brain. According to Nowak, Epstein was
fascinated with his game theory of win-stay, lose-shift and eager to see how it could be applied
to the markets. That is not to say that Epstein has no interest in purely humanistic endeavors. He
has given to countless organizations to further early and primary education, notably in the U.S.
Virgin Islands, where his foundation is based. But his essence is in uncovering the big questions,
a possible but perhaps ultimately insatiable desire.
Much has been written about the Program for Evolutionary Dynamics and Martin Nowak's
work. Nowak is also the honored recipient of numerous awards, he is a frequent guest lecturer
and the author of several books. And while Jeffrey Epstein remains an obscure figure, tarnished
now by a series of scandals involving underage women, one of which led to an 18-month jail
sentence, he is nonetheless the talented catalyst, the accelerator of all this medical discovery.
Whatever his ignominy, Epstein's continued bond with Nowak and PED emphasizes that nature
is not fastidious nor judgmental, nor is its dynamic always gradual. Discovery can be sparked
into being by an unlikely source, pragmatically driven and above all, errs towards sustainability,
no matter how outlying its' gaze.
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