EFTA01453101.pdf

Figure 3: Global Handset Model " Handset Shipments g co m ar S. ir 0 By Region On thousands) 2001 2005 2005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E 2015E Z a na 0 0 E Sachet Unit Shipments Western Europa 13:17n 205.001 205.057 219582 233,219 166.798 177,645 183.814 203.458 207,364 212,647 220,989 230.834 Eastern Europe 81,594 99.511 1111750 10(570 104,319 98,562 122,350 145.173 159.271 175.153 177,362 176,650 181,688 to w Asia 217.343 321.071 456.136 596.558 69(182 795.716 926,456 1.147.938 1.272.281 1,317,197 1911,011 1,483.726 1.529,444 2 Dow.bµd Arts 71,959 7101 16.243 94323 /10.059 87,769 91273 97.436 107.510 551315 521.218 137.335 143.245 Croy 107201 13307 215802 229444 251777 214149 231.10,1 301015 541751 555.170 072016 MAIO 107213 led• mm nm mm 523,802 556,537 25/931 345447 345374 26/70 322824 345330 351200 385282 Montero 5205 9270 20702 37444 44544 40.244 Kin 84645 502207 101.653 112126 0.1702 01,890 Orration At t. 35050 01555 41,400 51000 559,215 125.014 131,552 21450 2.31.030 Ma 210.512 261141 2711.01 Pdsrtn Arncoca 124,733 128,347 138873 148352 152.698 127,187 147,141 188,678 186,888 187.631 189,074 196,822 211,143 Lawn America (Ex Gram 31.283 73,909 77.718 83.452 87,055 116,776 12907 145,519 153,198 165,775 188950 177,271 175,4/0 erne 20.540 38,610 36285 44,226 56.680 81.298 71,413 114,737 11(028 104,592 10(673 110,453 108.079 Atncaldidde East 10.947 78320 94084 144.891 203.592 177.750 277,533 318,026 331,463 359.485 404,572 435.495 444724 Intl Unit Shipments mm mm 1,128412 umm tmm maim 1,447,144 nuals mum am amm mom mem M 00,010 Its% 3417% Min 10.08 14.1% IA% 1451 61.4% 13% 41% 4.11% 42% 14% By Technology On thousands) 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E Handset Unit Shipments GSM 474,552 677.204 804 774 940.158 1.046.447 1011.754 1,155992 1,335,799 1.294 239 1245,928 1,163.571 1979589 930.452 siGSM 257.307 X28.01 353302 374072 342.040 305.024 233.565 221122 07,05 141,074 02731 571239 07,932 0 GIBS =1St 201210 325257 374030 317,617 403064 474.300 552500 50.005 540.020 554407 339.307 205707 *EDGE 51253 74105 524255 192077 305.220 30.76. 427.100 552117 511064 532826 565345 52210 53160 WCDSIA 18029 93.891 97.624 171,903 263,292 300,821 441.018 556800 682,281 765,605 823,270 885,367 938,805 ave-00a 583:01 04.50 01.071 310.433 145,03 516204 151063 03.925 1/4652 142401 564720 15107 274,311 •0300A 810 35470 07020 INA NI 213035 402570 54310 023.552 45Z.5.,M 693679 722411 CCMA 151,211 177.709 105.815 215,206 211,744 217.873 244,416 247,067 237,082 201,328 196,931 205,352 207.956 COAM 4016 0 . - . Alb ISOM 5;703 - - - • . camAxao 1ART7 13491 553,05 151636 140107 totem foam 04006 47.452 47835 45,864 39,026 37.576 30443 COMMOO - . . so 30 55 54 55 55 0DAL12000 T,E$00 0.023 22734 4/083 7430 505.000 111.549 04.000 0.1773 18108 151421 1.5213/ 02721 111454 L7E - 30,849 107.645 249.399 371,180 514.506 711.687 TD-SCDMA 9,901 21.841 43.808 100.189 81,658 105,227 93,210 85,916 WiMax • • • • 920 1,026 5,948 5.375 5,216 5,988 4,486 3,975 TDMA 12.125 13,868 6,618 2273 • • • • CEN 6,626 6.710 1238 6,179 4.500 2256 2,183 2,158 1,565 932 381 392 352 12039101 14,620 9.366 5.323 2.913 1.793 503 1,299 1,330 1.221 1,150 1.322 1,504 Total Unit Shipmenb 677.183 945.768 1.129.492 1,338131 1927.778 1,544.086 1.447.144 2213.756 2.429.587 2.547.259 2.916.618 2.783,406 2979.363 In growth 155% 39. 111 141% 1.1% 116% 254% 13% 4.95 42% 1.3% 11% Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. San' Dovnaw Pee, compatv CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0 110522 CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00256706 EFTA01453101